Exit polls hint at anti-incumbency and corruption in Kerala

Kerala Election 2016 Exit Poll Pollsters UDF LDF BJP+ Others India Today-Axis UDF 43 LDF 94 BJP 3 OTH 1 CVoter UDF 58 LDF 78 BJP 2 News Nation UDF 70 LDF 69 OTH 1 0 Chanakya UDF 57 LDF 75 BJP 8 OTH 0 Summary of Kerala Assembly Election 2016 Opinion Poll

According to a pre-poll survey conducted by IMEG (Institute for Monitoring Economic Growth), Thiruvananthapuram, the CPI(M)-led LDF is coming to power in Kerala in 2016. It appears that voters of Kerala are going to reject both the BJP and Congress-led incumbent UDF. The IMEG survey has projected the LDF to win 83-90 seats in the 2016 Assembly elections while the UDF will have to satisfy itself with 50 to 57 seats. The BJP-led NDA may see an increase in its vote share but it may not be sufficient to open its account in the Assembly. The IMEG survey was conducted among 60,000 voters from south, central and north regions of Kerala. You may also like to read Kerala Election Date 2016 Kerala Assembly Constituencies LDF Candidate List 2016 Kerala Assembly elections: Times Now-CVoter opinion poll hints at the return of Left According to a pre-poll survey by Times Now-CVoter and CNN-IBN suggests a whopping victory for the LDF as the anti-incumbency factor will lead to the defeat of ruling UDF. The LDF is likely to get 86 seats in the 140-seat assembly. The ruling UDF is expected to bag only 53 seats during the elections scheduled to be held on 16 May. The NDA, which is likely to eat into the vote share of UDF, will see 10% votes going in their favour. Party/Alliance Seat Projection Seat Share % LDF 86 44 UDF 53 41 NDA 1 10 Others 0 5 Kerala Opinion Poll by India TV C-voter The opinion poll conducted by C-voter for India TV indicated that the Left Democratic Front (LDF) may stage a comeback in Kerala. If the report of the survey is taken at a face value, Chief Minister Oommen Chandy’s UDF will be ousted from power since it is expected to win only 49 seats. The LDF is likely to come back to power by winning 89 seats in the 140-member Assembly. There’s a slight probability of BJP-led front winning one seat. Party Seats LDF 89 UDF 49 BJP-led front 1 Kerala Opinion Poll by Elections.in Party/Alliance Seat Projection LDF 82 UDF 55 NDA 3 Kerala Opinion Poll by Asianet poll

(Feb 2016) As Kerala gears up to hold elections for the 140-seat assembly, the opinion poll survey indicates that the Left will win the polls. According to C for Survey conducted for Asianet, BJP will open its account in the state for the first time, and that too with 18% vote share. The 2016 Kerala Assembly elections opinion poll has predicted that LDF will win between 77 and 82 seats, thus securing the majority. The survey results indicate that the ruling United Democratic Front (UDF) will emerge as the second largest party with 55 to 60 seats. The BJP is likely to gain three to five seats. It is to be noted that the Oommen Chandy-led UDF will get 37% of the vote share despite being mired in controversies and the LDF’s

vote share will reduce from 44.94% in 2011 to 41%. The reason, according to pollsters, is eating away of the UDF and LDF vote shares by the NDA. The survey, which continued from 1-16 February, was conducted in 70 constituencies comprising 568 villages and 148 towns. Party No. of Seats Vote Share LDF 77 – 82 41.00% United Democratic Front 55 – 60 37.00% BJP 3 – 5 18.00% Polling Agency: Asianet Survey Date: 1 Feb to 16 Feb 2016 Kerala Legislative Assembly Election 2011 Results

Party Seats Communist Party of India (CPI) 13 Communist Party of Indian (Marxist) (CPM) 45 Indian National Congress (INC) 38 Janata Dal (Secular) JD(S) 4 Kerala Congress (Jacob) (KEC)(J) 1 Kerala Congress (M) (KCM) 9 Kerala Congress (B) KEC(B) 1 Kerala Revolutionary Socialist Party(Baby John) (KRSP) 1 Muslim League Kerala State Committee (MUL) 20 Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) 2 Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) 2 Socialist Janta (Democratic) (SJD) 2 Independent (IND) 2 Total 140